Preseason Rankings
Mississippi Valley
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-14.0#344
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.0#126
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#334
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.0#344
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 5.2% 40.8% 5.0%
.500 or above in Conference 35.5% 61.5% 35.3%
Conference Champion 3.2% 15.7% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 18.6% 3.2% 18.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Away) - 0.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.60.0 - 1.6
Quad 1b0.0 - 1.60.0 - 3.2
Quad 20.1 - 2.70.1 - 5.9
Quad 30.4 - 4.70.5 - 10.6
Quad 48.2 - 11.68.7 - 22.3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 35   @ Nebraska L 60-85 0.4%   
  Nov 09, 2018 29   @ Texas Tech L 57-83 0.3%   
  Nov 13, 2018 144   @ Utah St. L 65-80 5%    
  Nov 15, 2018 87   @ Utah L 60-80 2%    
  Nov 17, 2018 233   @ Robert Morris L 66-76 12%    
  Nov 20, 2018 236   SE Louisiana L 65-75 29%    
  Nov 25, 2018 76   @ Illinois L 66-87 2%    
  Dec 01, 2018 288   @ California Baptist L 69-76 19%    
  Dec 04, 2018 308   Southeast Missouri St. L 73-78 42%    
  Dec 11, 2018 141   @ Louisiana Tech L 64-80 5%    
  Dec 13, 2018 217   @ Santa Clara L 63-74 12%    
  Dec 16, 2018 201   @ Hawaii L 64-76 10%    
  Dec 22, 2018 114   @ Grand Canyon L 62-80 4%    
  Jan 05, 2019 332   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff L 70-72 33%    
  Jan 12, 2019 349   Alabama A&M W 70-68 65%    
  Jan 14, 2019 325   Alabama St. L 72-76 47%    
  Jan 19, 2019 346   @ Alcorn St. W 72-71 42%    
  Jan 21, 2019 343   @ Southern L 70-71 39%    
  Jan 26, 2019 297   Prairie View L 73-79 40%    
  Jan 28, 2019 243   Texas Southern L 73-82 31%    
  Feb 02, 2019 335   @ Jackson St. L 65-67 33%    
  Feb 04, 2019 296   @ Grambling St. L 72-79 22%    
  Feb 09, 2019 349   @ Alabama A&M W 70-68 47%    
  Feb 11, 2019 325   @ Alabama St. L 72-76 28%    
  Feb 16, 2019 346   Alcorn St. W 72-71 62%    
  Feb 18, 2019 343   Southern L 70-71 59%    
  Feb 23, 2019 297   @ Prairie View L 73-79 22%    
  Feb 25, 2019 243   @ Texas Southern L 73-82 16%    
  Mar 02, 2019 335   Jackson St. L 65-67 53%    
  Mar 04, 2019 296   Grambling St. L 72-79 39%    
  Mar 09, 2019 332   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 70-72 52%    
Projected Record 8.7 - 22.3 7.3 - 10.7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.1 2.2 0.5 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.2 2.3 0.5 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.5 5.0 2.6 0.3 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.7 5.5 2.4 0.3 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 4.3 5.1 2.3 0.3 13.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 2.2 4.9 4.4 1.7 0.2 13.9 9th
10th 0.6 1.7 3.1 3.6 2.1 0.7 0.1 12.1 10th
Total 0.6 1.8 3.6 6.0 8.4 10.3 11.4 11.9 10.6 10.5 8.4 6.2 4.5 2.9 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 93.6% 0.4    0.4 0.1
15-3 85.6% 0.7    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 58.2% 0.9    0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 22.3% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 7.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.1
16-2 0.5% 0.5
15-3 0.8% 0.8
14-4 1.5% 1.5
13-5 2.9% 2.9
12-6 4.5% 4.5
11-7 6.2% 6.2
10-8 8.4% 8.4
9-9 10.5% 10.5
8-10 10.6% 10.6
7-11 11.9% 11.9
6-12 11.4% 11.4
5-13 10.3% 10.3
4-14 8.4% 8.4
3-15 6.0% 6.0
2-16 3.6% 3.6
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%